UEFA Conference League predictions

Upcoming matches: our predictions

Fixtures and standings

Our latest predictions in this competition

Teams: scores, results and predictions

How our predictions are made

Our predictions come from a statistical model (Poisson distribution) applied to the goals each team scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. No guesswork: probabilities, calculated the same way for every match.

  • 1 / X / 2: probability of a home win, a draw, an away win.
  • Our pick: the win if it is above 50%, otherwise the most likely double chance.
  • Correct score: the most likely score (rarely above 15 to 20%).
  • Locked at kick-off: we never change a prediction once the match has started.

30-day record: 57% of predictions right over 121 matches, 7% correct scores.

21+ A prediction is never a certainty: at 60%, it is wrong 4 times out of 10. Only stake what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

FAQ

What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Probabilities: Kairat Almaty 10%, draw 21%, Panathinaikos 69%. Most likely score: 0-1. Over 2.5 goals: 41%. Both teams to score: 33%. Our pick: Panathinaikos win.

What are the next UEFA Conference League matches?

Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos (Thu 22 Oct 15:30) ; FC Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia (Thu 22 Oct 17:45) ; Getafe – FC Lugano (Thu 22 Oct 17:45) ; Iberia 1999 – Mjällby AIF (Thu 22 Oct 17:45) ; Inter D'Escaldes – CSU Craiova (Thu 22 Oct 17:45) ; Jablonec – Brighton & Hove Albion (Thu 22 Oct 17:45).

How are your predictions calculated?

With a statistical model (Poisson distribution): for each team we use the goals scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. From that we get the probabilities of a win, a draw, every correct score and the number of goals.

What is your success rate?

Over the last 30 days: 57% of 1X2 predictions right (121 matches), 7% correct scores. Every prediction is locked at kick-off: no corrections afterwards.

Are the predictions 100% reliable?

No. A 60% prediction is wrong 4 times out of 10. Never stake more than you can afford to lose; betting is for adults only.

Where are you?

Kick-off times, bonuses and payment methods adapt to your country.

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