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CAF Champions League predictions

Upcoming matches: our predictions

Fixtures and standings

How our predictions are made

Our predictions come from a statistical model (Poisson distribution) applied to the goals each team scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. No guesswork: probabilities, calculated the same way for every match.

  • 1 / X / 2: probability of a home win, a draw, an away win.
  • Our pick: the win if it is above 50%, otherwise the most likely double chance.
  • Correct score: the most likely score (rarely above 15 to 20%).
  • Locked at kick-off: we never change a prediction once the match has started.

30-day record: 64% of predictions right over 69 matches, 7% correct scores.

21+ A prediction is never a certainty: at 60%, it is wrong 4 times out of 10. Only stake what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

FAQ

What is the prediction for El Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC?

Probabilities: El Merriekh Bentiu 53%, draw 25%, Pyramids FC 22%. Most likely score: 1-0. Over 2.5 goals: 50%. Both teams to score: 51%. Our pick: El Merriekh Bentiu win.

What are the next CAF Champions League matches?

El Merriekh Bentiu – Pyramids FC (Fri 16 Oct 14:30) ; APR FC – Zamalek (Fri 16 Oct 17:00) ; Star Sport Academy – RSB Berkane (Fri 16 Oct 17:00) ; CFFA – Young Africans (Sat 17 Oct 13:00) ; African Stars – Orlando Pirates (Sat 17 Oct 14:00) ; TP Mazembe – Club Africain (Sat 17 Oct 14:00).

How are your predictions calculated?

With a statistical model (Poisson distribution): for each team we use the goals scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. From that we get the probabilities of a win, a draw, every correct score and the number of goals.

What is your success rate?

Over the last 30 days: 64% of 1X2 predictions right (69 matches), 7% correct scores. Every prediction is locked at kick-off: no corrections afterwards.

Are the predictions 100% reliable?

No. A 60% prediction is wrong 4 times out of 10. Never stake more than you can afford to lose; betting is for adults only.

Where are you?

Kick-off times, bonuses and payment methods adapt to your country.

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Sports betting is for adults only.