Málaga
Espanyol
Draw or Espanyol 75%
Score 0-1
+2,5 42%
BTTS 47%
LaLiga predictions
Upcoming matches: our predictions
Fixtures and standingsMálaga
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Athletic Club win 53%
Score 1-1
+2,5 59%
BTTS 59%
Alavés
Atlético Madrid
Alavés or draw 64%
Score 1-1
+2,5 54%
BTTS 57%
Barcelona
Getafe
Barcelona win 81%
Score 2-0
+2,5 71%
BTTS 51%
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid win 54%
Score 2-1
+2,5 81%
BTTS 77%
Elche
Celta Vigo
Draw or Celta Vigo 73%
Score 1-1
+2,5 60%
BTTS 61%
Real Sociedad
Deportivo
Draw or Deportivo 68%
Score 1-1
+2,5 61%
BTTS 63%
Real Betis
Osasuna
Real Betis win 76%
Score 2-0
+2,5 62%
BTTS 47%
Racing Santander
Valencia
Racing Santander win 54%
Score 2-1
+2,5 84%
BTTS 80%
Levante
Sevilla
Levante or draw 71%
Score 1-1
+2,5 58%
BTTS 60%
Teams: scores, results and predictions
How our predictions are made
Our predictions come from a statistical model (Poisson distribution) applied to the goals each team scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. No guesswork: probabilities, calculated the same way for every match.
- 1 / X / 2: probability of a home win, a draw, an away win.
- Our pick: the win if it is above 50%, otherwise the most likely double chance.
- Correct score: the most likely score (rarely above 15 to 20%).
- Locked at kick-off: we never change a prediction once the match has started.
Record published after 20 predictions have been played (3 so far), losses included.
21+ A prediction is never a certainty: at 60%, it is wrong 4 times out of 10. Only stake what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
FAQ
What is the prediction for Málaga vs Espanyol?
Probabilities: Málaga 25%, draw 27%, Espanyol 48%. Most likely score: 0-1. Over 2.5 goals: 42%. Both teams to score: 47%. Our pick: Draw or Espanyol.
What are the next LaLiga matches?
Málaga – Espanyol (Fri 9 Oct 20:00) ; Rayo Vallecano – Athletic Club (Sat 10 Oct 13:00) ; Alavés – Atlético Madrid (Sat 10 Oct 15:15) ; Barcelona – Getafe (Sat 10 Oct 17:30) ; Real Madrid – Villarreal (Sat 10 Oct 20:00) ; Elche – Celta Vigo (Sun 11 Oct 13:00).
How are your predictions calculated?
With a statistical model (Poisson distribution): for each team we use the goals scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. From that we get the probabilities of a win, a draw, every correct score and the number of goals.
What is your success rate?
Our record is published once 20 predictions locked before kick-off have been played. Every prediction is locked at kick-off: no corrections afterwards.
Are the predictions 100% reliable?
No. A 60% prediction is wrong 4 times out of 10. Never stake more than you can afford to lose; betting is for adults only.