AFC Champions League Two predictions

Upcoming matches: our predictions

Fixtures and standings

Tomorrow 08:45

Melbourne Victory FC Seoul

60%23%17%

Melbourne Victory win 60% Score 1-0 +2,5 46% BTTS 44%

Tomorrow 13:15

Persib Viettel

41%28%31%

Persib or draw 69% Score 1-1 +2,5 41% BTTS 47%

Tomorrow 14:45 Nasaf Qarshi Al-Wahda

39%34%27%

Nasaf Qarshi or draw 73% Score 0-0 +2,5 22% BTTS 31%

Tomorrow 17:00 Al Muharraq Gol Gohar FC Sirjan

24%30%46%

Draw or Gol Gohar FC Sirjan 76% Score 0-1 +2,5 30% BTTS 36%

Tomorrow 17:00

Al Taawoun

Al Rayyan

12%15%73%

Al Rayyan win 73% Score 0-2 +2,5 70% BTTS 58%

Tomorrow 17:00

Al-Jazira Arkadag

16%29%55%

Arkadag win 55% Score 0-1 +2,5 28% BTTS 31%

Tomorrow 17:00 Kuwait SC Khaldiya

44%29%27%

Kuwait SC or draw 73% Score 1-0 +2,5 38% BTTS 44%

Tomorrow 19:15 Al-Faisaly Al-Nahda Muscat Club

28%20%52%

Al-Nahda Muscat Club win 52% Score 1-2 +2,5 72% BTTS 70%

Thu 15 Oct 11:00 Gangwon FC Phnom Penh Crown

35%36%29%

Draw 36% Score 0-0 +2,5 21% BTTS 30%

Thu 15 Oct 11:00 Tai Po FC

Lion City Sailors FC

24%25%51%

Lion City Sailors FC win 51% Score 1-1 +2,5 51% BTTS 53%

Thu 15 Oct 13:15

BG Pathum United

Adelaide United

59%25%16%

BG Pathum United win 59% Score 1-0 +2,5 39% BTTS 38%

Thu 15 Oct 13:15

BG Tampines Rovers FC

Machida Zelvia

31%26%43%

Draw or Machida Zelvia 69% Score 1-1 +2,5 48% BTTS 53%

Thu 15 Oct 13:15 Kuching City Kitchee

65%19%16%

Kuching City win 65% Score 2-0 +2,5 62% BTTS 56%

Thu 15 Oct 13:15 Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng FC

Shanghai Shenhua

15%18%67%

Shanghai Shenhua win 67% Score 1-2 +2,5 67% BTTS 59%

How our predictions are made

Our predictions come from a statistical model (Poisson distribution) applied to the goals each team scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. No guesswork: probabilities, calculated the same way for every match.

1 / X / 2: probability of a home win, a draw, an away win.
Our pick: the win if it is above 50%, otherwise the most likely double chance.
Correct score: the most likely score (rarely above 15 to 20%).
Locked at kick-off: we never change a prediction once the match has started.

30-day record: 59% of predictions right over 58 matches, 7% correct scores.

21+ A prediction is never a certainty: at 60%, it is wrong 4 times out of 10. Only stake what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

FAQ

What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul?

Probabilities: Melbourne Victory 60%, draw 23%, FC Seoul 17%. Most likely score: 1-0. Over 2.5 goals: 46%. Both teams to score: 44%. Our pick: Melbourne Victory win.

What are the next AFC Champions League Two matches?

Melbourne Victory – FC Seoul (Tomorrow 08:45) ; Persib – Viettel (Tomorrow 13:15) ; Nasaf Qarshi – Al-Wahda (Tomorrow 14:45) ; Al Muharraq – Gol Gohar FC Sirjan (Tomorrow 17:00) ; Al Taawoun – Al Rayyan (Tomorrow 17:00) ; Al-Jazira – Arkadag (Tomorrow 17:00).

How are your predictions calculated?

With a statistical model (Poisson distribution): for each team we use the goals scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. From that we get the probabilities of a win, a draw, every correct score and the number of goals.

What is your success rate?

Over the last 30 days: 59% of 1X2 predictions right (58 matches), 7% correct scores. Every prediction is locked at kick-off: no corrections afterwards.

Are the predictions 100% reliable?

No. A 60% prediction is wrong 4 times out of 10. Never stake more than you can afford to lose; betting is for adults only.