Argentine Liga Profesional predictions

Upcoming matches: our predictions

Fixtures and standings

23:00

Defensa y Justicia

Instituto (Córdoba)

52%24%24%

Defensa y Justicia win 52% Score 1-1 +2,5 54% BTTS 55%

Tomorrow 01:30

Boca Juniors

Talleres (Córdoba)

62%25%13%

Boca Juniors win 62% Score 1-0 +2,5 35% BTTS 33%

Tomorrow 19:00

Banfield

Argentinos Juniors

34%27%39%

Draw or Argentinos Juniors 66% Score 1-1 +2,5 46% BTTS 51%

Tomorrow 21:30

Independiente Rivadavia

Tigre

53%22%25%

Independiente Rivadavia win 53% Score 2-1 +2,5 65% BTTS 64%

Tomorrow 21:30

Platense

Lanús

17%28%55%

Lanús win 55% Score 0-1 +2,5 32% BTTS 34%

Sun 18 Oct 00:00

Atlético Tucumán

Rosario Central

21%27%52%

Rosario Central win 52% Score 0-1 +2,5 40% BTTS 43%

Sun 18 Oct 00:00

Vélez Sarsfield

Gimnasia (Mendoza)

44%27%29%

Vélez Sarsfield or draw 71% Score 1-1 +2,5 43% BTTS 48%

Sun 18 Oct 18:45

Racing Club

Independiente

47%25%28%

Racing Club or draw 72% Score 1-1 +2,5 53% BTTS 55%

Sun 18 Oct 22:00

Estudiantes de La Plata

San Lorenzo

61%25%14%

Estudiantes de La Plata win 61% Score 1-0 +2,5 38% BTTS 36%

Sun 18 Oct 22:00

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Aldosivi

30%25%45%

Draw or Aldosivi 70% Score 1-1 +2,5 54% BTTS 56%

Mon 19 Oct 00:15

Belgrano (Córdoba)

River Plate

44%29%27%

Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw 73% Score 1-0 +2,5 37% BTTS 43%

Mon 19 Oct 23:00

Newell's Old Boys

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

42%35%23%

Newell's Old Boys or draw 77% Score 0-0 +2,5 21% BTTS 28%

Mon 19 Oct 23:00

Sarmiento (Junín)

Barracas Central

32%29%39%

Draw or Barracas Central 68% Score 1-1 +2,5 40% BTTS 46%

Tue 20 Oct 01:15

Deportivo Riestra

Unión (Santa Fe)

34%28%38%

Draw or Unión (Santa Fe) 66% Score 1-1 +2,5 43% BTTS 49%

Fri 23 Oct 22:30

Gimnasia (Mendoza)

Platense

46%27%27%

Gimnasia (Mendoza) or draw 73% Score 1-0 +2,5 40% BTTS 46%

Fri 23 Oct 23:00

Gimnasia La Plata

Sarmiento (Junín)

52%23%25%

Gimnasia La Plata win 52% Score 1-1 +2,5 60% BTTS 60%

Sat 24 Oct 01:15

Tigre

Atlético Tucumán

33%28%39%

Draw or Atlético Tucumán 67% Score 1-1 +2,5 41% BTTS 47%

Sat 24 Oct 18:45

Banfield

Lanús

19%26%55%

Lanús win 55% Score 0-1 +2,5 42% BTTS 44%

Sat 24 Oct 21:00

Talleres (Córdoba)

Defensa y Justicia

15%31%54%

Defensa y Justicia win 54% Score 0-1 +2,5 25% BTTS 28%

Sat 24 Oct 23:15

San Lorenzo

Newell's Old Boys

24%42%34%

Draw 42% Score 0-0 +2,5 12% BTTS 20%

Sun 25 Oct 01:30

Rosario Central

Huracán

53%27%20%

Rosario Central win 53% Score 1-0 +2,5 38% BTTS 41%

How our predictions are made

Our predictions come from a statistical model (Poisson distribution) applied to the goals each team scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. No guesswork: probabilities, calculated the same way for every match.

1 / X / 2: probability of a home win, a draw, an away win.
Our pick: the win if it is above 50%, otherwise the most likely double chance.
Correct score: the most likely score (rarely above 15 to 20%).
Locked at kick-off: we never change a prediction once the match has started.

30-day record: 57% of predictions right over 129 matches, 6% correct scores.

21+ A prediction is never a certainty: at 60%, it is wrong 4 times out of 10. Only stake what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

FAQ

What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia vs Instituto (Córdoba)?

Probabilities: Defensa y Justicia 52%, draw 24%, Instituto (Córdoba) 24%. Most likely score: 1-1. Over 2.5 goals: 54%. Both teams to score: 55%. Our pick: Defensa y Justicia win.

What are the next Argentine Liga Profesional matches?

Defensa y Justicia – Instituto (Córdoba) (23:00) ; Boca Juniors – Talleres (Córdoba) (Tomorrow 01:30) ; Banfield – Argentinos Juniors (Tomorrow 19:00) ; Independiente Rivadavia – Tigre (Tomorrow 21:30) ; Platense – Lanús (Tomorrow 21:30) ; Atlético Tucumán – Rosario Central (Sun 18 Oct 00:00).

How are your predictions calculated?

With a statistical model (Poisson distribution): for each team we use the goals scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. From that we get the probabilities of a win, a draw, every correct score and the number of goals.

What is your success rate?

Over the last 30 days: 57% of 1X2 predictions right (129 matches), 6% correct scores. Every prediction is locked at kick-off: no corrections afterwards.

Are the predictions 100% reliable?

No. A 60% prediction is wrong 4 times out of 10. Never stake more than you can afford to lose; betting is for adults only.