Utabiri wa ushindi wa ugenini

Utabiri wa "ushindi wa ugenini": mechi za siku 3 zijazo zimepangwa kuanzia yenye uwezekano mkubwa hadi mdogo, kulingana na modeli yetu ya takwimu. Dau la "2" linashinda ikiwa timu ya ugenini itashinda. Sare au ushindi wa nyumbani unapoteza.

78%Hajduk Split kushinda — FC Thun – Hajduk Split

Kesho 20:00

FC Thun

Hajduk Split

10%12%78%

Hajduk Split kushinda 78% Matokeo 1-3 +2.5 89% BTTS 74%

110%

N12%

278%

+1.596%

+2.589%

+3.575%

BTTS74%

Si zote 226%

Mapumziko

114%

N24%

262%

72%Brighton & Hove Albion kushinda — Jablonec – Brighton & Hove Albion

Kesho 17:45

Jablonec

Brighton & Hove Albion

10%18%72%

Brighton & Hove Albion kushinda 72% Matokeo 0-2 +2.5 52% BTTS 42%

110%

N18%

272%

+1.576%

+2.552%

+3.530%

BTTS42%

Si zote 258%

Mapumziko

111%

N38%

251%

71%Panathinaikos kushinda — Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos

Kesho 15:30

Kairat Almaty

Panathinaikos

8%21%71%

Panathinaikos kushinda 71% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 41% BTTS 31%

18%

N20%

271%

+1.567%

+2.541%

+3.520%

BTTS31%

Si zote 269%

Mapumziko

19%

N42%

249%

66%KAA Gent kushinda — Braga – KAA Gent

Kesho 20:00

Braga

KAA Gent

11%23%66%

KAA Gent kushinda 66% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 40% BTTS 35%

111%

N23%

266%

+1.566%

+2.540%

+3.519%

BTTS35%

Si zote 265%

Mapumziko

111%

N44%

245%

66%Celta Vigo kushinda — Celtic – Celta Vigo

Kesho 20:00

Celtic

Celta Vigo

14%20%66%

Celta Vigo kushinda 66% Matokeo 0-2 +2.5 55% BTTS 50%

114%

N20%

266%

+1.579%

+2.555%

+3.533%

BTTS50%

Si zote 250%

Mapumziko

115%

N38%

247%

65%Deportivo Cali kushinda — Llaneros FC – Deportivo Cali

Kesho 00:15

Llaneros FC

Deportivo Cali

13%22%65%

Deportivo Cali kushinda 65% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 46% BTTS 42%

113%

N22%

265%

+1.571%

+2.546%

+3.524%

BTTS41%

Si zote 259%

Mapumziko

113%

N42%

245%

64%Melgar kushinda — UTC – Melgar

Ijm 23 Okt 19:00

UTC

Melgar

17%19%64%

Melgar kushinda 64% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 68% BTTS 61%

117%

N19%

264%

+1.586%

+2.568%

+3.546%

BTTS62%

Si zote 238%

Mapumziko

118%

N34%

248%

64%Bayer Leverkusen kushinda — OFI Crete – Bayer Leverkusen

Kesho 17:45

OFI Crete

Bayer Leverkusen

17%19%64%

Bayer Leverkusen kushinda 64% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 68% BTTS 62%

117%

N19%

264%

+1.587%

+2.568%

+3.547%

BTTS62%

Si zote 238%

Mapumziko

118%

N34%

248%

61%Lyon kushinda — TSG Hoffenheim – Lyon

Kesho 20:00

TSG Hoffenheim

Lyon

21%18%61%

Lyon kushinda 61% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 79% BTTS 73%

121%

N18%

261%

+1.592%

+2.579%

+3.560%

BTTS73%

Si zote 227%

Mapumziko

121%

N31%

248%

57%SK Brann kushinda — Kauno Zalgiris – SK Brann

Kesho 17:45

Kauno Zalgiris

SK Brann

20%23%57%

SK Brann kushinda 57% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 51% BTTS 51%

120%

N23%

257%

+1.576%

+2.552%

+3.529%

BTTS51%

Si zote 249%

Mapumziko

118%

N41%

241%

55%F.C. København kushinda — Red Star Belgrade – F.C. København

Kesho 17:45

Red Star Belgrade

F.C. København

22%23%55%

F.C. København kushinda 55% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 55% BTTS 54%

122%

N23%

255%

+1.578%

+2.555%

+3.532%

BTTS54%

Si zote 246%

Mapumziko

120%

N40%

241%

54%AC Milan kushinda — AFC Bournemouth – AC Milan

Kesho 20:00

AFC Bournemouth

AC Milan

25%21%54%

AC Milan kushinda 54% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 70% BTTS 68%

125%

N20%

254%

+1.588%

+2.570%

+3.549%

BTTS68%

Si zote 232%

Mapumziko

123%

N35%

242%

54%Feyenoord Rotterdam kushinda — Real Betis – Feyenoord Rotterdam

20:00

Real Betis

Feyenoord Rotterdam

30%16%54%

Feyenoord Rotterdam kushinda 54% Matokeo 2-3 +2.5 94% BTTS 89%

130%

N16%

254%

+1.598%

+2.594%

+3.584%

BTTS89%

Si zote 211%

Mapumziko

129%

N26%

245%

52%Atlético-MG kushinda — Montevideo City Torque – Atlético-MG

23:00

Montevideo City Torque

Atlético-MG

21%27%52%

Atlético-MG kushinda 52% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 40% BTTS 43%

121%

N27%

252%

+1.567%

+2.540%

+3.520%

BTTS43%

Si zote 257%

Mapumziko

118%

N46%

236%

48%Al Shabab kushinda — Al Fateh – Al Shabab

Kesho 15:45

Al Fateh

Al Shabab

29%23%48%

Sare au Al Shabab 71% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 62% BTTS 62%

129%

N23%

248%

+1.583%

+2.562%

+3.539%

BTTS62%

Si zote 238%

Mapumziko

125%

N38%

237%

48%FC Twente kushinda — Lincoln Red Imps – FC Twente

Kesho 20:00

Lincoln Red Imps

FC Twente

23%29%48%

Sare au FC Twente 77% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 36% BTTS 41%

124%

N28%

248%

+1.563%

+2.536%

+3.517%

BTTS41%

Si zote 259%

Mapumziko

119%

N48%

234%

47%Perth Glory kushinda — Brisbane Roar – Perth Glory

Ijm 23 Okt 10:00

Brisbane Roar

Perth Glory

31%21%48%

Sare au Perth Glory 69% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 69% BTTS 68%

131%

N22%

247%

+1.587%

+2.569%

+3.547%

BTTS68%

Si zote 232%

Mapumziko

127%

N36%

237%

47%Real Sociedad kushinda — Lillestrom – Real Sociedad

Kesho 20:00

Lillestrom

Real Sociedad

33%20%47%

Sare au Real Sociedad 67% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 77% BTTS 75%

133%

N20%

247%

+1.591%

+2.577%

+3.558%

BTTS75%

Si zote 225%

Mapumziko

129%

N33%

238%

46%Querétaro kushinda — Atlético de San Luis – Querétaro

02:00

Atlético de San Luis

Querétaro

31%24%45%

Sare au Querétaro 69% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 59% BTTS 61%

131%

N24%

246%

+1.581%

+2.559%

+3.537%

BTTS61%

Si zote 239%

Mapumziko

126%

N39%

235%

45%Mjällby AIF kushinda — Iberia 1999 – Mjällby AIF

Kesho 17:45

Iberia 1999

Mjällby AIF

26%29%45%

Sare au Mjällby AIF 74% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 38% BTTS 44%

127%

N28%

245%

+1.565%

+2.538%

+3.518%

BTTS44%

Si zote 256%

Mapumziko

121%

N47%

232%

45%América kushinda — Atlas – América

Kesho 02:00

Atlas

América

36%19%45%

Sare au América 64% Matokeo 2-2 +2.5 86% BTTS 83%

136%

N19%

245%

+1.595%

+2.586%

+3.571%

BTTS83%

Si zote 217%

Mapumziko

132%

N30%

238%

45%Athletic Club kushinda — Levante – Athletic Club

19:00

Levante

Athletic Club

30%25%45%

Sare au Athletic Club 70% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 49% BTTS 53%

130%

N26%

245%

+1.574%

+2.549%

+3.527%

BTTS53%

Si zote 247%

Mapumziko

124%

N43%

233%

43%SC Freiburg kushinda — AS Monaco – SC Freiburg

Kesho 20:00

AS Monaco

SC Freiburg

33%23%44%

Sare au SC Freiburg 67% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 62% BTTS 63%

133%

N23%

243%

+1.583%

+2.562%

+3.540%

BTTS63%

Si zote 237%

Mapumziko

128%

N38%

234%

43%CSU Craiova kushinda — Inter D'Escaldes – CSU Craiova

Kesho 17:45

Inter D'Escaldes

CSU Craiova

30%27%43%

Sare au CSU Craiova 70% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 42% BTTS 48%

130%

N28%

243%

+1.568%

+2.542%

+3.521%

BTTS48%

Si zote 252%

Mapumziko

123%

N45%

231%

42%Riga FC kushinda — Pafos – Riga FC

Kesho 17:45

Pafos

Riga FC

34%24%42%

Sare au Riga FC 66% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 56% BTTS 59%

134%

N25%

242%

+1.579%

+2.555%

+3.533%

BTTS58%

Si zote 242%

Mapumziko

127%

N40%

232%

Jinsi ya kusoma utabiri huu

Timu yenye nguvu zaidi kuliko mpinzani wake, kiasi cha kufidia faida ya uwanja wa nyumbani.

Jedwali chini ya kila mechi linaonyesha kila uwezekano kutoka kwa modeli: ushindi wa nyumbani (1), sare (X), ushindi wa ugenini (2), zaidi ya mabao 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5, na timu zote mbili kufunga (ndiyo / hapana). Linganisha na odds: odds za 2.00 zinamaanisha 50%, odds za 1.50 takriban 67%.

Masoko mengine

Jinsi utabiri wetu unavyoandaliwa

Utabiri wetu unatokana na modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson) inayotumika kwa magoli ambayo kila timu ilifunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Hakuna kubahatisha: ni uwezekano, unaohesabiwa kwa njia ileile kwa kila mechi.

1 / X / 2: uwezekano wa ushindi wa nyumbani, sare, ushindi wa ugenini.
Chaguo letu: ushindi ikiwa uko juu ya 50%, vinginevyo nafasi mbili (double chance) inayowezekana zaidi.
Matokeo kamili: matokeo yanayowezekana zaidi (mara chache huzidi 15 hadi 20%).
Hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hatubadilishi utabiri kamwe baada ya mechi kuanza.

Rekodi ya siku 30: 60% ya utabiri sahihi katika mechi 315, 8% matokeo kamili.

21+ Utabiri si uhakika kamwe: kwa 60%, hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Weka dau la kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza tu. Kubashiri kwa uwajibikaji

Maswali

Ni utabiri gani bora wa "ushindi wa ugenini"?

Kwa mujibu wa modeli yetu, zinazowezekana zaidi ni: Hajduk Split kushinda — FC Thun – Hajduk Split (78 %) ; Brighton & Hove Albion kushinda — Jablonec – Brighton & Hove Albion (72 %) ; Panathinaikos kushinda — Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos (71 %).

"ushindi wa ugenini" inamaanisha nini?

Dau la "2" linashinda ikiwa timu ya ugenini itashinda. Sare au ushindi wa nyumbani unapoteza.

Utabiri huu una uwezekano mkubwa zaidi lini?

Timu yenye nguvu zaidi kuliko mpinzani wake, kiasi cha kufidia faida ya uwanja wa nyumbani.

Utabiri wenu unahesabiwaje?

Kwa modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson): kwa kila timu tunatumia magoli iliyofunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Kutokana na hilo tunapata uwezekano wa ushindi, sare, kila matokeo kamili na idadi ya magoli.

Kiwango chenu cha mafanikio ni kipi?

Katika siku 30 zilizopita: 60% ya utabiri wa 1X2 ulikuwa sahihi (mechi 315), 8% matokeo kamili. Kila utabiri hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hakuna marekebisho baadaye.

Je, utabiri ni wa uhakika 100%?

Hapana. Utabiri wa 60% hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Usiweke dau zaidi ya kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza; kubashiri ni kwa watu wazima tu.