Utabiri wa ushindi wa nyumbani

Utabiri wa "ushindi wa nyumbani": mechi za siku 3 zijazo zimepangwa kuanzia yenye uwezekano mkubwa hadi mdogo, kulingana na modeli yetu ya takwimu. Dau la "1" linashinda ikiwa timu ya nyumbani itashinda. Sare au ushindi wa ugenini unapoteza.

76%Union St.-Gilloise kushinda — Union St.-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er

Kesho 17:45

Union St.-Gilloise

Hapoel Be'er

76%15%9%

Union St.-Gilloise kushinda 76% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 63% BTTS 48%

176%

N15%

29%

+1.583%

+2.563%

+3.540%

BTTS48%

Si zote 252%

Mapumziko

156%

N33%

211%

72%Guadalajara kushinda — Guadalajara – Necaxa

01:07

Guadalajara

Necaxa

72%16%12%

Guadalajara kushinda 72% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 69% BTTS 57%

172%

N16%

212%

+1.587%

+2.569%

+3.547%

BTTS57%

Si zote 243%

Mapumziko

154%

N32%

214%

72%Atlético Madrid kushinda — Atlético Madrid – Valencia

Ijm 23 Okt 18:30

Atlético Madrid

Valencia

72%17%11%

Atlético Madrid kushinda 72% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 63% BTTS 51%

172%

N17%

211%

+1.583%

+2.563%

+3.540%

BTTS51%

Si zote 249%

Mapumziko

153%

N34%

213%

71%Young Africans kushinda — Young Africans – CFFA

17:00 Young Africans CFFA

71%18%11%

Young Africans kushinda 71% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 56% BTTS 46%

171%

N18%

211%

+1.579%

+2.556%

+3.533%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

151%

N37%

212%

71%Santos kushinda — Santos – Pumas UNAM

Kesho 04:10

Santos

Pumas UNAM

71%16%13%

Santos kushinda 71% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 76% BTTS 65%

171%

N16%

214%

+1.591%

+2.576%

+3.556%

BTTS65%

Si zote 235%

Mapumziko

154%

N30%

216%

69%Ajax Amsterdam kushinda — Ajax Amsterdam – Atalanta

Kesho 20:00

Ajax Amsterdam

Atalanta

69%15%16%

Ajax Amsterdam kushinda 69% Matokeo 3-1 +2.5 84% BTTS 74%

169%

N15%

216%

+1.594%

+2.584%

+3.568%

BTTS74%

Si zote 226%

Mapumziko

154%

N28%

218%

69%Sporting CP kushinda — Sporting CP – LASK Linz

20:00

Sporting CP

LASK Linz

69%15%16%

Sporting CP kushinda 69% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 81% BTTS 72%

169%

N16%

216%

+1.593%

+2.581%

+3.563%

BTTS72%

Si zote 228%

Mapumziko

153%

N29%

218%

67%Ferencvaros kushinda — Ferencvaros – Torreense

Kesho 17:45

Ferencvaros

Torreense

67%21%12%

Ferencvaros kushinda 67% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 50% BTTS 43%

167%

N20%

212%

+1.574%

+2.550%

+3.528%

BTTS43%

Si zote 257%

Mapumziko

148%

N40%

213%

67%Independiente Santa Fe kushinda — Independiente Santa Fe – Jaguares de Córdoba

Kesho 02:20

Independiente Santa Fe

Jaguares de Córdoba

66%19%15%

Independiente Santa Fe kushinda 66% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 61% BTTS 54%

167%

N19%

215%

+1.582%

+2.561%

+3.539%

BTTS54%

Si zote 246%

Mapumziko

149%

N36%

215%

66%Club Brugge kushinda — Club Brugge – Lens

20:00

Club Brugge

Lens

66%15%19%

Club Brugge kushinda 66% Matokeo 3-1 +2.5 87% BTTS 80%

166%

N15%

218%

+1.596%

+2.587%

+3.573%

BTTS80%

Si zote 220%

Mapumziko

153%

N27%

220%

66%Lech Poznan kushinda — Lech Poznan – Sunderland

Kesho 17:45

Lech Poznan

Sunderland

66%16%18%

Lech Poznan kushinda 66% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 83% BTTS 75%

166%

N16%

218%

+1.594%

+2.583%

+3.566%

BTTS75%

Si zote 225%

Mapumziko

151%

N29%

220%

66%Besiktas kushinda — Besiktas – Crystal Palace

Kesho 20:00

Besiktas

Crystal Palace

65%17%18%

Besiktas kushinda 65% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 83% BTTS 75%

166%

N16%

218%

+1.594%

+2.583%

+3.566%

BTTS75%

Si zote 225%

Mapumziko

151%

N29%

220%

65%Dinamo Zagreb kushinda — Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen

Kesho 17:45

Dinamo Zagreb

NEC Nijmegen

65%21%14%

Dinamo Zagreb kushinda 65% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 51% BTTS 46%

165%

N21%

214%

+1.576%

+2.551%

+3.529%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

147%

N40%

214%

64%Real Madrid kushinda — Real Madrid – RB Leipzig

20:00

Real Madrid

RB Leipzig

64%15%21%

Real Madrid kushinda 64% Matokeo 3-2 +2.5 91% BTTS 84%

164%

N15%

221%

+1.597%

+2.591%

+3.579%

BTTS84%

Si zote 216%

Mapumziko

152%

N26%

222%

63%Bayern Munich kushinda — Bayern Munich – Arsenal

20:00

Bayern Munich

Arsenal

63%18%19%

Bayern Munich kushinda 63% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 70% BTTS 65%

163%

N19%

219%

+1.588%

+2.571%

+3.549%

BTTS65%

Si zote 235%

Mapumziko

147%

N34%

219%

62%Al Ahli kushinda — Al Ahli – Al Khaleej

Kesho 19:00

Al Ahli

Al Khaleej

62%20%18%

Al Ahli kushinda 62% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 66% BTTS 61%

162%

N19%

218%

+1.586%

+2.566%

+3.544%

BTTS61%

Si zote 239%

Mapumziko

147%

N35%

218%

61%Trabzonspor kushinda — Trabzonspor – Heart of Midlothian

Kesho 17:45

Trabzonspor

Heart of Midlothian

61%21%18%

Trabzonspor kushinda 61% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 59% BTTS 56%

161%

N21%

218%

+1.581%

+2.559%

+3.537%

BTTS56%

Si zote 244%

Mapumziko

145%

N37%

218%

56%Atlético Grau kushinda — Atlético Grau – ADT

Ijm 23 Okt 21:15

Atlético Grau

ADT

56%23%21%

Atlético Grau kushinda 56% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 55% BTTS 55%

156%

N23%

221%

+1.579%

+2.556%

+3.533%

BTTS55%

Si zote 245%

Mapumziko

141%

N39%

219%

56%Atlético Nacional kushinda — Atlético Nacional – Deportivo Pasto

Ijm 23 Okt 02:00

Atlético Nacional

Deportivo Pasto

56%25%19%

Atlético Nacional kushinda 56% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 41% BTTS 42%

156%

N26%

219%

+1.567%

+2.541%

+3.520%

BTTS42%

Si zote 258%

Mapumziko

139%

N45%

216%

55%Palmeiras kushinda — Palmeiras – Fluminense

Kesho 01:30

Palmeiras

Fluminense

55%23%22%

Palmeiras kushinda 55% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 57% BTTS 56%

155%

N23%

222%

+1.579%

+2.557%

+3.534%

BTTS56%

Si zote 244%

Mapumziko

141%

N39%

220%

55%FC Midtjylland kushinda — FC Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense

Kesho 20:00

FC Midtjylland

Sint-Truidense

55%20%25%

FC Midtjylland kushinda 55% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 70% BTTS 68%

155%

N20%

225%

+1.588%

+2.570%

+3.549%

BTTS68%

Si zote 232%

Mapumziko

142%

N35%

223%

54%FC Cincinnati kushinda — FC Cincinnati – D.C. United

Kesho 00:00

FC Cincinnati

D.C. United

54%18%28%

FC Cincinnati kushinda 54% Matokeo 2-2 +2.5 86% BTTS 81%

154%

N18%

228%

+1.595%

+2.586%

+3.570%

BTTS81%

Si zote 219%

Mapumziko

144%

N29%

227%

54%Millonarios kushinda — Millonarios – Once Caldas

02:30

Millonarios

Once Caldas

54%25%21%

Millonarios kushinda 54% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 44% BTTS 46%

154%

N25%

221%

+1.570%

+2.544%

+3.523%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

138%

N44%

218%

52%Gimnasia La Plata kushinda — Gimnasia La Plata – Sarmiento (Junín)

Ijm 23 Okt 23:00

Gimnasia La Plata

Sarmiento (Junín)

52%23%25%

Gimnasia La Plata kushinda 52% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 60% BTTS 60%

152%

N23%

225%

+1.582%

+2.560%

+3.538%

BTTS60%

Si zote 240%

Mapumziko

139%

N38%

223%

52%Internazionale kushinda — Internazionale – Shakhtar Donetsk

20:00

Internazionale

Shakhtar Donetsk

52%18%30%

Internazionale kushinda 52% Matokeo 2-2 +2.5 85% BTTS 81%

152%

N18%

230%

+1.595%

+2.585%

+3.569%

BTTS81%

Si zote 219%

Mapumziko

142%

N30%

228%

Jinsi ya kusoma utabiri huu

Timu inayofunga mabao mengi nyumbani dhidi ya ngome inayoruhusu mabao mengi, pamoja na faida ya uwanja wa nyumbani.

Jedwali chini ya kila mechi linaonyesha kila uwezekano kutoka kwa modeli: ushindi wa nyumbani (1), sare (X), ushindi wa ugenini (2), zaidi ya mabao 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5, na timu zote mbili kufunga (ndiyo / hapana). Linganisha na odds: odds za 2.00 zinamaanisha 50%, odds za 1.50 takriban 67%.

Masoko mengine

Jinsi utabiri wetu unavyoandaliwa

Utabiri wetu unatokana na modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson) inayotumika kwa magoli ambayo kila timu ilifunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Hakuna kubahatisha: ni uwezekano, unaohesabiwa kwa njia ileile kwa kila mechi.

1 / X / 2: uwezekano wa ushindi wa nyumbani, sare, ushindi wa ugenini.
Chaguo letu: ushindi ikiwa uko juu ya 50%, vinginevyo nafasi mbili (double chance) inayowezekana zaidi.
Matokeo kamili: matokeo yanayowezekana zaidi (mara chache huzidi 15 hadi 20%).
Hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hatubadilishi utabiri kamwe baada ya mechi kuanza.

Rekodi ya siku 30: 60% ya utabiri sahihi katika mechi 315, 8% matokeo kamili.

21+ Utabiri si uhakika kamwe: kwa 60%, hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Weka dau la kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza tu. Kubashiri kwa uwajibikaji

Maswali

Ni utabiri gani bora wa "ushindi wa nyumbani"?

Kwa mujibu wa modeli yetu, zinazowezekana zaidi ni: Union St.-Gilloise kushinda — Union St.-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er (76 %) ; Guadalajara kushinda — Guadalajara – Necaxa (72 %) ; Atlético Madrid kushinda — Atlético Madrid – Valencia (72 %).

"ushindi wa nyumbani" inamaanisha nini?

Dau la "1" linashinda ikiwa timu ya nyumbani itashinda. Sare au ushindi wa ugenini unapoteza.

Utabiri huu una uwezekano mkubwa zaidi lini?

Timu inayofunga mabao mengi nyumbani dhidi ya ngome inayoruhusu mabao mengi, pamoja na faida ya uwanja wa nyumbani.

Utabiri wenu unahesabiwaje?

Kwa modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson): kwa kila timu tunatumia magoli iliyofunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Kutokana na hilo tunapata uwezekano wa ushindi, sare, kila matokeo kamili na idadi ya magoli.

Kiwango chenu cha mafanikio ni kipi?

Katika siku 30 zilizopita: 60% ya utabiri wa 1X2 ulikuwa sahihi (mechi 315), 8% matokeo kamili. Kila utabiri hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hakuna marekebisho baadaye.

Je, utabiri ni wa uhakika 100%?

Hapana. Utabiri wa 60% hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Usiweke dau zaidi ya kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza; kubashiri ni kwa watu wazima tu.