Utabiri wa timu zinazopewa nafasi leo

Utabiri wa "timu zinazopewa nafasi leo": mechi za siku 3 zijazo zimepangwa kuanzia yenye uwezekano mkubwa hadi mdogo, kulingana na modeli yetu ya takwimu. Timu inayopewa nafasi ni ile ambayo modeli yetu inaipa uwezekano mkubwa zaidi wa kushinda. Dau la "timu inayopewa nafasi kushinda" linashinda ikiwa timu hiyo itashinda mechi (sare inapoteza).

78%Hajduk Split kushinda — FC Thun – Hajduk Split

Kesho 20:00

FC Thun

Hajduk Split

10%12%78%

Hajduk Split kushinda 78% Matokeo 1-3 +2.5 89% BTTS 74%

110%

N12%

278%

+1.596%

+2.589%

+3.575%

BTTS74%

Si zote 226%

Mapumziko

114%

N24%

262%

76%Union St.-Gilloise kushinda — Union St.-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er

Kesho 17:45

Union St.-Gilloise

Hapoel Be'er

76%15%9%

Union St.-Gilloise kushinda 76% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 63% BTTS 48%

176%

N15%

29%

+1.583%

+2.563%

+3.540%

BTTS48%

Si zote 252%

Mapumziko

156%

N33%

211%

72%Guadalajara kushinda — Guadalajara – Necaxa

01:07

Guadalajara

Necaxa

72%16%12%

Guadalajara kushinda 72% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 69% BTTS 57%

172%

N16%

212%

+1.587%

+2.569%

+3.547%

BTTS57%

Si zote 243%

Mapumziko

154%

N32%

214%

72%Atlético Madrid kushinda — Atlético Madrid – Valencia

Ijm 23 Okt 18:30

Atlético Madrid

Valencia

72%17%11%

Atlético Madrid kushinda 72% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 63% BTTS 51%

172%

N17%

211%

+1.583%

+2.563%

+3.540%

BTTS51%

Si zote 249%

Mapumziko

153%

N34%

213%

72%Brighton & Hove Albion kushinda — Jablonec – Brighton & Hove Albion

Kesho 17:45

Jablonec

Brighton & Hove Albion

10%18%72%

Brighton & Hove Albion kushinda 72% Matokeo 0-2 +2.5 52% BTTS 42%

110%

N18%

272%

+1.576%

+2.552%

+3.530%

BTTS42%

Si zote 258%

Mapumziko

111%

N38%

251%

71%Panathinaikos kushinda — Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos

Kesho 15:30

Kairat Almaty

Panathinaikos

8%21%71%

Panathinaikos kushinda 71% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 41% BTTS 31%

18%

N20%

271%

+1.567%

+2.541%

+3.520%

BTTS31%

Si zote 269%

Mapumziko

19%

N42%

249%

71%Young Africans kushinda — Young Africans – CFFA

17:00 Young Africans CFFA

71%18%11%

Young Africans kushinda 71% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 56% BTTS 46%

171%

N18%

211%

+1.579%

+2.556%

+3.533%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

151%

N37%

212%

71%Santos kushinda — Santos – Pumas UNAM

Kesho 04:10

Santos

Pumas UNAM

71%16%13%

Santos kushinda 71% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 76% BTTS 65%

171%

N16%

214%

+1.591%

+2.576%

+3.556%

BTTS65%

Si zote 235%

Mapumziko

154%

N30%

216%

69%Ajax Amsterdam kushinda — Ajax Amsterdam – Atalanta

Kesho 20:00

Ajax Amsterdam

Atalanta

69%15%16%

Ajax Amsterdam kushinda 69% Matokeo 3-1 +2.5 84% BTTS 74%

169%

N15%

216%

+1.594%

+2.584%

+3.568%

BTTS74%

Si zote 226%

Mapumziko

154%

N28%

218%

69%Sporting CP kushinda — Sporting CP – LASK Linz

20:00

Sporting CP

LASK Linz

69%15%16%

Sporting CP kushinda 69% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 81% BTTS 72%

169%

N16%

216%

+1.593%

+2.581%

+3.563%

BTTS72%

Si zote 228%

Mapumziko

153%

N29%

218%

67%Ferencvaros kushinda — Ferencvaros – Torreense

Kesho 17:45

Ferencvaros

Torreense

67%21%12%

Ferencvaros kushinda 67% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 50% BTTS 43%

167%

N20%

212%

+1.574%

+2.550%

+3.528%

BTTS43%

Si zote 257%

Mapumziko

148%

N40%

213%

67%Independiente Santa Fe kushinda — Independiente Santa Fe – Jaguares de Córdoba

Kesho 02:20

Independiente Santa Fe

Jaguares de Córdoba

66%19%15%

Independiente Santa Fe kushinda 66% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 61% BTTS 54%

167%

N19%

215%

+1.582%

+2.561%

+3.539%

BTTS54%

Si zote 246%

Mapumziko

149%

N36%

215%

66%Club Brugge kushinda — Club Brugge – Lens

20:00

Club Brugge

Lens

66%15%19%

Club Brugge kushinda 66% Matokeo 3-1 +2.5 87% BTTS 80%

166%

N15%

218%

+1.596%

+2.587%

+3.573%

BTTS80%

Si zote 220%

Mapumziko

153%

N27%

220%

66%KAA Gent kushinda — Braga – KAA Gent

Kesho 20:00

Braga

KAA Gent

11%23%66%

KAA Gent kushinda 66% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 40% BTTS 35%

111%

N23%

266%

+1.566%

+2.540%

+3.519%

BTTS35%

Si zote 265%

Mapumziko

111%

N44%

245%

66%Celta Vigo kushinda — Celtic – Celta Vigo

Kesho 20:00

Celtic

Celta Vigo

14%20%66%

Celta Vigo kushinda 66% Matokeo 0-2 +2.5 55% BTTS 50%

114%

N20%

266%

+1.579%

+2.555%

+3.533%

BTTS50%

Si zote 250%

Mapumziko

115%

N38%

247%

66%Lech Poznan kushinda — Lech Poznan – Sunderland

Kesho 17:45

Lech Poznan

Sunderland

66%16%18%

Lech Poznan kushinda 66% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 83% BTTS 75%

166%

N16%

218%

+1.594%

+2.583%

+3.566%

BTTS75%

Si zote 225%

Mapumziko

151%

N29%

220%

66%Besiktas kushinda — Besiktas – Crystal Palace

Kesho 20:00

Besiktas

Crystal Palace

65%17%18%

Besiktas kushinda 65% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 83% BTTS 75%

166%

N16%

218%

+1.594%

+2.583%

+3.566%

BTTS75%

Si zote 225%

Mapumziko

151%

N29%

220%

65%Dinamo Zagreb kushinda — Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen

Kesho 17:45

Dinamo Zagreb

NEC Nijmegen

65%21%14%

Dinamo Zagreb kushinda 65% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 51% BTTS 46%

165%

N21%

214%

+1.576%

+2.551%

+3.529%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

147%

N40%

214%

65%Deportivo Cali kushinda — Llaneros FC – Deportivo Cali

Kesho 00:15

Llaneros FC

Deportivo Cali

13%22%65%

Deportivo Cali kushinda 65% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 46% BTTS 42%

113%

N22%

265%

+1.571%

+2.546%

+3.524%

BTTS41%

Si zote 259%

Mapumziko

113%

N42%

245%

64%Real Madrid kushinda — Real Madrid – RB Leipzig

20:00

Real Madrid

RB Leipzig

64%15%21%

Real Madrid kushinda 64% Matokeo 3-2 +2.5 91% BTTS 84%

164%

N15%

221%

+1.597%

+2.591%

+3.579%

BTTS84%

Si zote 216%

Mapumziko

152%

N26%

222%

64%Melgar kushinda — UTC – Melgar

Ijm 23 Okt 19:00

UTC

Melgar

17%19%64%

Melgar kushinda 64% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 68% BTTS 61%

117%

N19%

264%

+1.586%

+2.568%

+3.546%

BTTS62%

Si zote 238%

Mapumziko

118%

N34%

248%

64%Bayer Leverkusen kushinda — OFI Crete – Bayer Leverkusen

Kesho 17:45

OFI Crete

Bayer Leverkusen

17%19%64%

Bayer Leverkusen kushinda 64% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 68% BTTS 62%

117%

N19%

264%

+1.587%

+2.568%

+3.547%

BTTS62%

Si zote 238%

Mapumziko

118%

N34%

248%

63%Bayern Munich kushinda — Bayern Munich – Arsenal

20:00

Bayern Munich

Arsenal

63%18%19%

Bayern Munich kushinda 63% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 70% BTTS 65%

163%

N19%

219%

+1.588%

+2.571%

+3.549%

BTTS65%

Si zote 235%

Mapumziko

147%

N34%

219%

62%Al Ahli kushinda — Al Ahli – Al Khaleej

Kesho 19:00

Al Ahli

Al Khaleej

62%20%18%

Al Ahli kushinda 62% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 66% BTTS 61%

162%

N19%

218%

+1.586%

+2.566%

+3.544%

BTTS61%

Si zote 239%

Mapumziko

147%

N35%

218%

61%Lyon kushinda — TSG Hoffenheim – Lyon

Kesho 20:00

TSG Hoffenheim

Lyon

21%18%61%

Lyon kushinda 61% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 79% BTTS 73%

121%

N18%

261%

+1.592%

+2.579%

+3.560%

BTTS73%

Si zote 227%

Mapumziko

121%

N31%

248%

Jinsi ya kusoma utabiri huu

Kadiri tofauti ya mabao yanayotarajiwa kati ya timu inavyokuwa kubwa, ndivyo timu inayopewa nafasi inavyokuwa wazi zaidi.

Jedwali chini ya kila mechi linaonyesha kila uwezekano kutoka kwa modeli: ushindi wa nyumbani (1), sare (X), ushindi wa ugenini (2), zaidi ya mabao 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5, na timu zote mbili kufunga (ndiyo / hapana). Linganisha na odds: odds za 2.00 zinamaanisha 50%, odds za 1.50 takriban 67%.

Timu zinazopewa nafasi kushinda kesho · Utabiri wa soka kesho

Masoko mengine

Jinsi utabiri wetu unavyoandaliwa

Utabiri wetu unatokana na modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson) inayotumika kwa magoli ambayo kila timu ilifunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Hakuna kubahatisha: ni uwezekano, unaohesabiwa kwa njia ileile kwa kila mechi.

1 / X / 2: uwezekano wa ushindi wa nyumbani, sare, ushindi wa ugenini.
Chaguo letu: ushindi ikiwa uko juu ya 50%, vinginevyo nafasi mbili (double chance) inayowezekana zaidi.
Matokeo kamili: matokeo yanayowezekana zaidi (mara chache huzidi 15 hadi 20%).
Hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hatubadilishi utabiri kamwe baada ya mechi kuanza.

Rekodi ya siku 30: 60% ya utabiri sahihi katika mechi 315, 8% matokeo kamili.

21+ Utabiri si uhakika kamwe: kwa 60%, hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Weka dau la kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza tu. Kubashiri kwa uwajibikaji

Maswali

Ni utabiri gani bora wa "timu zinazopewa nafasi leo"?

Kwa mujibu wa modeli yetu, zinazowezekana zaidi ni: Hajduk Split kushinda — FC Thun – Hajduk Split (78 %) ; Union St.-Gilloise kushinda — Union St.-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er (76 %) ; Guadalajara kushinda — Guadalajara – Necaxa (72 %).

"timu zinazopewa nafasi leo" inamaanisha nini?

Timu inayopewa nafasi ni ile ambayo modeli yetu inaipa uwezekano mkubwa zaidi wa kushinda. Dau la "timu inayopewa nafasi kushinda" linashinda ikiwa timu hiyo itashinda mechi (sare inapoteza).

Utabiri huu una uwezekano mkubwa zaidi lini?

Kadiri tofauti ya mabao yanayotarajiwa kati ya timu inavyokuwa kubwa, ndivyo timu inayopewa nafasi inavyokuwa wazi zaidi.

Utabiri wenu unahesabiwaje?

Kwa modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson): kwa kila timu tunatumia magoli iliyofunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Kutokana na hilo tunapata uwezekano wa ushindi, sare, kila matokeo kamili na idadi ya magoli.

Kiwango chenu cha mafanikio ni kipi?

Katika siku 30 zilizopita: 60% ya utabiri wa 1X2 ulikuwa sahihi (mechi 315), 8% matokeo kamili. Kila utabiri hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hakuna marekebisho baadaye.

Je, utabiri ni wa uhakika 100%?

Hapana. Utabiri wa 60% hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Usiweke dau zaidi ya kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza; kubashiri ni kwa watu wazima tu.