Utabiri wa timu zote mbili hazitafunga

Utabiri wa "timu zote mbili hazitafunga": mechi za siku 3 zijazo zimepangwa kuanzia yenye uwezekano mkubwa hadi mdogo, kulingana na modeli yetu ya takwimu. Dau linashinda ikiwa angalau timu moja itashindwa kufunga (0-0, 1-0, 2-0, 0-3…).

70%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Puebla – Monterrey

Kesho 02:00

Puebla

Monterrey

44%34%22%

Puebla au sare 78% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 23% BTTS 30%

144%

N34%

222%

+1.549%

+2.523%

+3.58%

BTTS30%

Si zote 270%

Mapumziko

129%

N55%

216%

69%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos

Kesho 15:30

Kairat Almaty

Panathinaikos

8%21%71%

Panathinaikos kushinda 71% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 41% BTTS 31%

18%

N20%

271%

+1.567%

+2.541%

+3.520%

BTTS31%

Si zote 269%

Mapumziko

19%

N42%

249%

65%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Braga – KAA Gent

Kesho 20:00

Braga

KAA Gent

11%23%66%

KAA Gent kushinda 66% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 40% BTTS 35%

111%

N23%

266%

+1.566%

+2.540%

+3.519%

BTTS35%

Si zote 265%

Mapumziko

111%

N44%

245%

62%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Vasco da Gama – Boca Juniors

01:30

Vasco da Gama

Boca Juniors

50%29%21%

Vasco da Gama kushinda 50% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 33% BTTS 38%

150%

N29%

221%

+1.560%

+2.533%

+3.515%

BTTS38%

Si zote 262%

Mapumziko

134%

N49%

217%

62%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Gimnasia (Mendoza) – Platense

Ijm 23 Okt 22:30

Gimnasia (Mendoza)

Platense

30%31%39%

Sare au Platense 70% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 30% BTTS 38%

129%

N31%

239%

+1.557%

+2.530%

+3.513%

BTTS38%

Si zote 262%

Mapumziko

122%

N51%

227%

59%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Lincoln Red Imps – FC Twente

Kesho 20:00

Lincoln Red Imps

FC Twente

23%29%48%

Sare au FC Twente 77% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 36% BTTS 41%

124%

N28%

248%

+1.563%

+2.536%

+3.517%

BTTS41%

Si zote 259%

Mapumziko

119%

N48%

234%

59%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Llaneros FC – Deportivo Cali

Kesho 00:15

Llaneros FC

Deportivo Cali

13%22%65%

Deportivo Cali kushinda 65% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 46% BTTS 42%

113%

N22%

265%

+1.571%

+2.546%

+3.524%

BTTS41%

Si zote 259%

Mapumziko

113%

N42%

245%

58%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Jablonec – Brighton & Hove Albion

Kesho 17:45

Jablonec

Brighton & Hove Albion

10%18%72%

Brighton & Hove Albion kushinda 72% Matokeo 0-2 +2.5 52% BTTS 42%

110%

N18%

272%

+1.576%

+2.552%

+3.530%

BTTS42%

Si zote 258%

Mapumziko

111%

N38%

251%

58%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Atlético Nacional – Deportivo Pasto

Ijm 23 Okt 02:00

Atlético Nacional

Deportivo Pasto

56%25%19%

Atlético Nacional kushinda 56% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 41% BTTS 42%

156%

N26%

219%

+1.567%

+2.541%

+3.520%

BTTS42%

Si zote 258%

Mapumziko

139%

N45%

216%

57%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Flamengo – Estudiantes de La Plata

Ijm 23 Okt 01:30

Flamengo

Estudiantes de La Plata

38%29%33%

Flamengo au sare 67% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 36% BTTS 43%

138%

N30%

233%

+1.563%

+2.536%

+3.517%

BTTS43%

Si zote 257%

Mapumziko

127%

N48%

224%

57%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Ferencvaros – Torreense

Kesho 17:45

Ferencvaros

Torreense

67%21%12%

Ferencvaros kushinda 67% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 50% BTTS 43%

167%

N20%

212%

+1.574%

+2.550%

+3.528%

BTTS43%

Si zote 257%

Mapumziko

148%

N40%

213%

57%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Montevideo City Torque – Atlético-MG

23:00

Montevideo City Torque

Atlético-MG

21%27%52%

Atlético-MG kushinda 52% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 40% BTTS 43%

121%

N27%

252%

+1.567%

+2.540%

+3.520%

BTTS43%

Si zote 257%

Mapumziko

118%

N46%

236%

56%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Iberia 1999 – Mjällby AIF

Kesho 17:45

Iberia 1999

Mjällby AIF

26%29%45%

Sare au Mjällby AIF 74% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 38% BTTS 44%

127%

N28%

245%

+1.565%

+2.538%

+3.518%

BTTS44%

Si zote 256%

Mapumziko

121%

N47%

232%

55%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — NK Celje – RB Salzburg

Kesho 20:00

NK Celje

RB Salzburg

32%29%39%

Sare au RB Salzburg 68% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 39% BTTS 45%

132%

N29%

239%

+1.566%

+2.539%

+3.519%

BTTS45%

Si zote 255%

Mapumziko

124%

N47%

229%

54%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Young Africans – CFFA

17:00 Young Africans CFFA

71%18%11%

Young Africans kushinda 71% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 56% BTTS 46%

171%

N18%

211%

+1.579%

+2.556%

+3.533%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

151%

N37%

212%

54%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen

Kesho 17:45

Dinamo Zagreb

NEC Nijmegen

65%21%14%

Dinamo Zagreb kushinda 65% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 51% BTTS 46%

165%

N21%

214%

+1.576%

+2.551%

+3.529%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

147%

N40%

214%

54%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Millonarios – Once Caldas

02:30

Millonarios

Once Caldas

54%25%21%

Millonarios kushinda 54% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 44% BTTS 46%

154%

N25%

221%

+1.570%

+2.544%

+3.523%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

138%

N44%

218%

54%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Viktoria Plzen – Levski Sofia

Kesho 20:00

Viktoria Plzen

Levski Sofia

49%27%24%

Viktoria Plzen au sare 76% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 42% BTTS 46%

149%

N27%

224%

+1.568%

+2.542%

+3.521%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

135%

N45%

220%

53%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Al Hazem – Al Fayha

Kesho 14:40

Al Hazem

Al Fayha

42%28%30%

Al Hazem au sare 70% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 42% BTTS 47%

142%

N28%

230%

+1.568%

+2.542%

+3.521%

BTTS47%

Si zote 253%

Mapumziko

131%

N46%

224%

52%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Union St.-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er

Kesho 17:45

Union St.-Gilloise

Hapoel Be'er

76%15%9%

Union St.-Gilloise kushinda 76% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 63% BTTS 48%

176%

N15%

29%

+1.583%

+2.563%

+3.540%

BTTS48%

Si zote 252%

Mapumziko

156%

N33%

211%

52%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Inter D'Escaldes – CSU Craiova

Kesho 17:45

Inter D'Escaldes

CSU Craiova

30%27%43%

Sare au CSU Craiova 70% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 42% BTTS 48%

130%

N28%

243%

+1.568%

+2.542%

+3.521%

BTTS48%

Si zote 252%

Mapumziko

123%

N45%

231%

52%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Independiente del Valle – Universidad Católica (Quito)

Ijm 23 Okt 21:30

Independiente del Valle

Universidad Católica (Quito)

44%27%29%

Independiente del Valle au sare 71% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 43% BTTS 48%

143%

N27%

229%

+1.569%

+2.543%

+3.522%

BTTS48%

Si zote 252%

Mapumziko

132%

N45%

223%

51%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar

Kesho 17:45

Ararat-Armenia

AZ Alkmaar

45%27%28%

Ararat-Armenia au sare 72% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 45% BTTS 49%

145%

N27%

228%

+1.571%

+2.545%

+3.524%

BTTS49%

Si zote 251%

Mapumziko

133%

N44%

223%

50%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Celtic – Celta Vigo

Kesho 20:00

Celtic

Celta Vigo

14%20%66%

Celta Vigo kushinda 66% Matokeo 0-2 +2.5 55% BTTS 50%

114%

N20%

266%

+1.579%

+2.555%

+3.533%

BTTS50%

Si zote 250%

Mapumziko

115%

N38%

247%

49%Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Kauno Zalgiris – SK Brann

Kesho 17:45

Kauno Zalgiris

SK Brann

20%23%57%

SK Brann kushinda 57% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 51% BTTS 51%

120%

N23%

257%

+1.576%

+2.552%

+3.529%

BTTS51%

Si zote 249%

Mapumziko

118%

N41%

241%

Jinsi ya kusoma utabiri huu

Timu inayofunga mabao machache dhidi ya ngome nzuri, au tofauti kubwa ya ubora.

Jedwali chini ya kila mechi linaonyesha kila uwezekano kutoka kwa modeli: ushindi wa nyumbani (1), sare (X), ushindi wa ugenini (2), zaidi ya mabao 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5, na timu zote mbili kufunga (ndiyo / hapana). Linganisha na odds: odds za 2.00 zinamaanisha 50%, odds za 1.50 takriban 67%.

Masoko mengine

Jinsi utabiri wetu unavyoandaliwa

Utabiri wetu unatokana na modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson) inayotumika kwa magoli ambayo kila timu ilifunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Hakuna kubahatisha: ni uwezekano, unaohesabiwa kwa njia ileile kwa kila mechi.

1 / X / 2: uwezekano wa ushindi wa nyumbani, sare, ushindi wa ugenini.
Chaguo letu: ushindi ikiwa uko juu ya 50%, vinginevyo nafasi mbili (double chance) inayowezekana zaidi.
Matokeo kamili: matokeo yanayowezekana zaidi (mara chache huzidi 15 hadi 20%).
Hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hatubadilishi utabiri kamwe baada ya mechi kuanza.

Rekodi ya siku 30: 60% ya utabiri sahihi katika mechi 315, 8% matokeo kamili.

21+ Utabiri si uhakika kamwe: kwa 60%, hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Weka dau la kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza tu. Kubashiri kwa uwajibikaji

Maswali

Ni utabiri gani bora wa "timu zote mbili hazitafunga"?

Kwa mujibu wa modeli yetu, zinazowezekana zaidi ni: Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Puebla – Monterrey (70 %) ; Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos (69 %) ; Timu zote mbili hazitafunga — Braga – KAA Gent (65 %).

"timu zote mbili hazitafunga" inamaanisha nini?

Dau linashinda ikiwa angalau timu moja itashindwa kufunga (0-0, 1-0, 2-0, 0-3…).

Utabiri huu una uwezekano mkubwa zaidi lini?

Timu inayofunga mabao machache dhidi ya ngome nzuri, au tofauti kubwa ya ubora.

Utabiri wenu unahesabiwaje?

Kwa modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson): kwa kila timu tunatumia magoli iliyofunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Kutokana na hilo tunapata uwezekano wa ushindi, sare, kila matokeo kamili na idadi ya magoli.

Kiwango chenu cha mafanikio ni kipi?

Katika siku 30 zilizopita: 60% ya utabiri wa 1X2 ulikuwa sahihi (mechi 315), 8% matokeo kamili. Kila utabiri hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hakuna marekebisho baadaye.

Je, utabiri ni wa uhakika 100%?

Hapana. Utabiri wa 60% hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Usiweke dau zaidi ya kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza; kubashiri ni kwa watu wazima tu.