Utabiri wa sare

Utabiri wa "sare": mechi za siku 3 zijazo zimepangwa kuanzia yenye uwezekano mkubwa hadi mdogo, kulingana na modeli yetu ya takwimu. Dau la "sare" linashinda ikiwa mechi itaisha kwa sare (0-0, 1-1, 2-2…).

42%Sare — San Lorenzo – Newell's Old Boys

Jmos 24 Okt 23:15

San Lorenzo

Newell's Old Boys

24%42%34%

Sare 42% Matokeo 0-0 +2.5 12% BTTS 20%

124%

N42%

234%

+1.533%

+2.512%

+3.53%

BTTS20%

Si zote 280%

Mapumziko

115%

N64%

221%

34%Sare — Puebla – Monterrey

02:00

Puebla

Monterrey

44%34%22%

Puebla au sare 78% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 23% BTTS 30%

144%

N34%

222%

+1.549%

+2.523%

+3.58%

BTTS30%

Si zote 270%

Mapumziko

129%

N55%

216%

31%Sare — Gimnasia (Mendoza) – Platense

Kesho 22:30

Gimnasia (Mendoza)

Platense

30%31%39%

Sare au Platense 70% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 30% BTTS 38%

129%

N31%

239%

+1.557%

+2.530%

+3.513%

BTTS38%

Si zote 262%

Mapumziko

122%

N51%

227%

30%Sare — Audax Italiano – Huachipato

Jmos 24 Okt 00:00

Audax Italiano

Huachipato

33%31%36%

Sare au Huachipato 67% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 34% BTTS 41%

133%

N30%

237%

+1.561%

+2.534%

+3.515%

BTTS41%

Si zote 259%

Mapumziko

124%

N49%

226%

30%Sare — Manta F.C. – Deportivo Cuenca

Jmos 24 Okt 17:30

Manta F.C.

Deportivo Cuenca

32%30%38%

Sare au Deportivo Cuenca 68% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 35% BTTS 42%

132%

N30%

238%

+1.562%

+2.535%

+3.516%

BTTS42%

Si zote 258%

Mapumziko

124%

N49%

227%

30%Sare — Flamengo – Estudiantes de La Plata

Kesho 01:30

Flamengo

Estudiantes de La Plata

38%29%33%

Flamengo au sare 67% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 36% BTTS 43%

138%

N30%

233%

+1.563%

+2.536%

+3.517%

BTTS43%

Si zote 257%

Mapumziko

127%

N48%

224%

29%Sare — NK Celje – RB Salzburg

20:00

NK Celje

RB Salzburg

32%29%39%

Sare au RB Salzburg 68% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 39% BTTS 45%

132%

N29%

239%

+1.566%

+2.539%

+3.519%

BTTS45%

Si zote 255%

Mapumziko

124%

N47%

229%

28%Sare — Iberia 1999 – Mjällby AIF

17:45

Iberia 1999

Mjällby AIF

26%29%45%

Sare au Mjällby AIF 74% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 38% BTTS 44%

127%

N28%

245%

+1.565%

+2.538%

+3.518%

BTTS44%

Si zote 256%

Mapumziko

121%

N47%

232%

28%Sare — Lincoln Red Imps – FC Twente

20:00

Lincoln Red Imps

FC Twente

23%29%48%

Sare au FC Twente 77% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 36% BTTS 41%

124%

N28%

248%

+1.563%

+2.536%

+3.517%

BTTS41%

Si zote 259%

Mapumziko

119%

N48%

234%

28%Sare — Mirassol – São Paulo

Jmos 24 Okt 20:30

Mirassol

São Paulo

50%28%22%

Mirassol au sare 78% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 36% BTTS 40%

150%

N28%

222%

+1.563%

+2.536%

+3.517%

BTTS40%

Si zote 260%

Mapumziko

134%

N48%

218%

28%Sare — Talleres (Córdoba) – Defensa y Justicia

Jmos 24 Okt 21:00

Talleres (Córdoba)

Defensa y Justicia

18%28%54%

Defensa y Justicia kushinda 54% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 33% BTTS 36%

118%

N28%

254%

+1.560%

+2.533%

+3.515%

BTTS36%

Si zote 264%

Mapumziko

115%

N49%

236%

28%Sare — Al Hazem – Al Fayha

14:40

Al Hazem

Al Fayha

42%28%30%

Al Hazem au sare 70% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 42% BTTS 47%

142%

N28%

230%

+1.568%

+2.542%

+3.521%

BTTS47%

Si zote 253%

Mapumziko

131%

N46%

224%

28%Sare — Inter D'Escaldes – CSU Craiova

17:45

Inter D'Escaldes

CSU Craiova

30%27%43%

Sare au CSU Craiova 70% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 42% BTTS 48%

130%

N28%

243%

+1.568%

+2.542%

+3.521%

BTTS48%

Si zote 252%

Mapumziko

123%

N45%

231%

27%Sare — Independiente del Valle – Universidad Católica (Quito)

Kesho 21:30

Independiente del Valle

Universidad Católica (Quito)

44%27%29%

Independiente del Valle au sare 71% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 43% BTTS 48%

143%

N27%

229%

+1.569%

+2.543%

+3.522%

BTTS48%

Si zote 252%

Mapumziko

132%

N45%

223%

27%Sare — La Serena – Deportes Concepcion

Jmos 24 Okt 16:30

La Serena

Deportes Concepcion

31%26%43%

Sare au Deportes Concepcion 69% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 45% BTTS 50%

131%

N27%

243%

+1.571%

+2.545%

+3.524%

BTTS50%

Si zote 250%

Mapumziko

124%

N44%

232%

27%Sare — Viktoria Plzen – Levski Sofia

20:00

Viktoria Plzen

Levski Sofia

49%27%24%

Viktoria Plzen au sare 76% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 42% BTTS 46%

149%

N27%

224%

+1.568%

+2.542%

+3.521%

BTTS46%

Si zote 254%

Mapumziko

135%

N45%

220%

27%Sare — Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar

17:45

Ararat-Armenia

AZ Alkmaar

45%27%28%

Ararat-Armenia au sare 72% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 45% BTTS 49%

145%

N27%

228%

+1.571%

+2.545%

+3.524%

BTTS49%

Si zote 251%

Mapumziko

133%

N44%

223%

26%Sare — Banfield – Lanús

Jmos 24 Okt 18:45

Banfield

Lanús

14%27%59%

Lanús kushinda 59% Matokeo 0-1 +2.5 33% BTTS 34%

114%

N26%

259%

+1.560%

+2.533%

+3.515%

BTTS33%

Si zote 267%

Mapumziko

113%

N48%

240%

26%Sare — Internacional – Botafogo

Jmos 24 Okt 20:30

Internacional

Botafogo

40%26%34%

Internacional au sare 66% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 48% BTTS 53%

139%

N26%

234%

+1.573%

+2.548%

+3.527%

BTTS53%

Si zote 247%

Mapumziko

130%

N43%

227%

26%Sare — Getafe – FC Lugano

17:45

Getafe

FC Lugano

32%27%41%

Sare au FC Lugano 68% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 48% BTTS 53%

132%

N26%

241%

+1.573%

+2.548%

+3.527%

BTTS53%

Si zote 247%

Mapumziko

126%

N43%

231%

26%Sare — FC Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia

17:45

FC Nordsjælland

CSKA Sofia

43%26%31%

FC Nordsjælland au sare 69% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 50% BTTS 54%

144%

N26%

231%

+1.574%

+2.550%

+3.528%

BTTS54%

Si zote 246%

Mapumziko

133%

N42%

225%

26%Sare — Olympiacos – Sparta Prague

20:00

Olympiacos

Sparta Prague

48%26%26%

Olympiacos au sare 74% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 48% BTTS 51%

148%

N26%

226%

+1.573%

+2.548%

+3.526%

BTTS51%

Si zote 249%

Mapumziko

135%

N43%

222%

26%Sare — Atlético Nacional – Deportivo Pasto

Kesho 02:00

Atlético Nacional

Deportivo Pasto

56%25%19%

Atlético Nacional kushinda 56% Matokeo 1-0 +2.5 41% BTTS 42%

156%

N26%

219%

+1.567%

+2.541%

+3.520%

BTTS42%

Si zote 258%

Mapumziko

139%

N45%

216%

25%Sare — Omonia Nicosia – Benfica

20:00

Omonia Nicosia

Benfica

44%25%31%

Omonia Nicosia au sare 69% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 52% BTTS 56%

144%

N25%

231%

+1.576%

+2.552%

+3.530%

BTTS56%

Si zote 244%

Mapumziko

133%

N41%

225%

25%Sare — Liga de Quito – Macará

Jmos 24 Okt 22:30

Liga de Quito

Macará

40%26%34%

Liga de Quito au sare 66% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 53% BTTS 57%

141%

N25%

234%

+1.577%

+2.554%

+3.531%

BTTS57%

Si zote 243%

Mapumziko

131%

N41%

227%

Jinsi ya kusoma utabiri huu

Timu mbili zenye viwango vinavyokaribiana na mechi zenye mabao machache: kadiri mabao yanayotarajiwa yanavyopungua, ndivyo sare inavyozidi kuwa na uwezekano.

Jedwali chini ya kila mechi linaonyesha kila uwezekano kutoka kwa modeli: ushindi wa nyumbani (1), sare (X), ushindi wa ugenini (2), zaidi ya mabao 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5, na timu zote mbili kufunga (ndiyo / hapana). Linganisha na odds: odds za 2.00 zinamaanisha 50%, odds za 1.50 takriban 67%.

Masoko mengine

Jinsi utabiri wetu unavyoandaliwa

Utabiri wetu unatokana na modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson) inayotumika kwa magoli ambayo kila timu ilifunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Hakuna kubahatisha: ni uwezekano, unaohesabiwa kwa njia ileile kwa kila mechi.

1 / X / 2: uwezekano wa ushindi wa nyumbani, sare, ushindi wa ugenini.
Chaguo letu: ushindi ikiwa uko juu ya 50%, vinginevyo nafasi mbili (double chance) inayowezekana zaidi.
Matokeo kamili: matokeo yanayowezekana zaidi (mara chache huzidi 15 hadi 20%).
Hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hatubadilishi utabiri kamwe baada ya mechi kuanza.

Rekodi ya siku 30: 59% ya utabiri sahihi katika mechi 327, 8% matokeo kamili.

21+ Utabiri si uhakika kamwe: kwa 60%, hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Weka dau la kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza tu. Kubashiri kwa uwajibikaji

Maswali

Ni utabiri gani bora wa "sare"?

Kwa mujibu wa modeli yetu, zinazowezekana zaidi ni: Sare — San Lorenzo – Newell's Old Boys (42 %) ; Sare — Puebla – Monterrey (34 %) ; Sare — Gimnasia (Mendoza) – Platense (31 %).

"sare" inamaanisha nini?

Dau la "sare" linashinda ikiwa mechi itaisha kwa sare (0-0, 1-1, 2-2…).

Utabiri huu una uwezekano mkubwa zaidi lini?

Timu mbili zenye viwango vinavyokaribiana na mechi zenye mabao machache: kadiri mabao yanayotarajiwa yanavyopungua, ndivyo sare inavyozidi kuwa na uwezekano.

Utabiri wenu unahesabiwaje?

Kwa modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson): kwa kila timu tunatumia magoli iliyofunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Kutokana na hilo tunapata uwezekano wa ushindi, sare, kila matokeo kamili na idadi ya magoli.

Kiwango chenu cha mafanikio ni kipi?

Katika siku 30 zilizopita: 59% ya utabiri wa 1X2 ulikuwa sahihi (mechi 327), 8% matokeo kamili. Kila utabiri hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hakuna marekebisho baadaye.

Je, utabiri ni wa uhakika 100%?

Hapana. Utabiri wa 60% hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Usiweke dau zaidi ya kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza; kubashiri ni kwa watu wazima tu.