Utabiri wa zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza

Utabiri wa "zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza": mechi za siku 3 zijazo zimepangwa kuanzia yenye uwezekano mkubwa hadi mdogo, kulingana na modeli yetu ya takwimu. Dau linashinda ikiwa angalau bao moja litafungwa kabla ya mapumziko, na timu yoyote. Linapoteza ikiwa ni 0-0 wakati wa mapumziko.

93%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Real Betis – Feyenoord Rotterdam

20:00

Real Betis

Feyenoord Rotterdam

30%16%54%

Feyenoord Rotterdam kushinda 54% Matokeo 2-3 +2.5 94% BTTS 89%

130%

N16%

254%

+1.598%

+2.594%

+3.584%

BTTS89%

Si zote 211%

Mapumziko

129%

N26%

245%

91%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Real Madrid – RB Leipzig

20:00

Real Madrid

RB Leipzig

64%15%21%

Real Madrid kushinda 64% Matokeo 3-2 +2.5 91% BTTS 84%

164%

N15%

221%

+1.597%

+2.591%

+3.579%

BTTS84%

Si zote 216%

Mapumziko

152%

N26%

222%

90%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Aston Villa – Viking FK

20:00

Aston Villa

Viking FK

44%18%38%

Aston Villa au sare 62% Matokeo 2-2 +2.5 89% BTTS 85%

144%

N18%

238%

+1.596%

+2.589%

+3.576%

BTTS85%

Si zote 215%

Mapumziko

138%

N28%

234%

90%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — FC Thun – Hajduk Split

Kesho 20:00

FC Thun

Hajduk Split

10%12%78%

Hajduk Split kushinda 78% Matokeo 1-3 +2.5 89% BTTS 74%

110%

N12%

278%

+1.596%

+2.589%

+3.575%

BTTS74%

Si zote 226%

Mapumziko

114%

N24%

262%

89%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Club Brugge – Lens

20:00

Club Brugge

Lens

66%15%19%

Club Brugge kushinda 66% Matokeo 3-1 +2.5 87% BTTS 80%

166%

N15%

218%

+1.596%

+2.587%

+3.573%

BTTS80%

Si zote 220%

Mapumziko

153%

N27%

220%

88%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Atlas – América

Kesho 02:00

Atlas

América

36%19%45%

Sare au América 64% Matokeo 2-2 +2.5 86% BTTS 83%

136%

N19%

245%

+1.595%

+2.586%

+3.571%

BTTS83%

Si zote 217%

Mapumziko

132%

N30%

238%

88%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — FC Cincinnati – D.C. United

Kesho 00:00

FC Cincinnati

D.C. United

54%18%28%

FC Cincinnati kushinda 54% Matokeo 2-2 +2.5 86% BTTS 81%

154%

N18%

228%

+1.595%

+2.586%

+3.570%

BTTS81%

Si zote 219%

Mapumziko

144%

N29%

227%

87%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Internazionale – Shakhtar Donetsk

20:00

Internazionale

Shakhtar Donetsk

52%18%30%

Internazionale kushinda 52% Matokeo 2-2 +2.5 85% BTTS 81%

152%

N18%

230%

+1.595%

+2.585%

+3.569%

BTTS81%

Si zote 219%

Mapumziko

142%

N30%

228%

87%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Ajax Amsterdam – Atalanta

Kesho 20:00

Ajax Amsterdam

Atalanta

69%15%16%

Ajax Amsterdam kushinda 69% Matokeo 3-1 +2.5 84% BTTS 74%

169%

N15%

216%

+1.594%

+2.584%

+3.568%

BTTS74%

Si zote 226%

Mapumziko

154%

N28%

218%

86%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Besiktas – Crystal Palace

Kesho 20:00

Besiktas

Crystal Palace

65%17%18%

Besiktas kushinda 65% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 83% BTTS 75%

166%

N16%

218%

+1.594%

+2.583%

+3.566%

BTTS75%

Si zote 225%

Mapumziko

151%

N29%

220%

86%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Lech Poznan – Sunderland

Kesho 17:45

Lech Poznan

Sunderland

66%16%18%

Lech Poznan kushinda 66% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 83% BTTS 75%

166%

N16%

218%

+1.594%

+2.583%

+3.566%

BTTS75%

Si zote 225%

Mapumziko

151%

N29%

220%

85%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Sporting CP – LASK Linz

20:00

Sporting CP

LASK Linz

69%15%16%

Sporting CP kushinda 69% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 81% BTTS 72%

169%

N16%

216%

+1.593%

+2.581%

+3.563%

BTTS72%

Si zote 228%

Mapumziko

153%

N29%

218%

84%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — TSG Hoffenheim – Lyon

Kesho 20:00

TSG Hoffenheim

Lyon

21%18%61%

Lyon kushinda 61% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 79% BTTS 73%

121%

N18%

261%

+1.592%

+2.579%

+3.560%

BTTS73%

Si zote 227%

Mapumziko

121%

N31%

248%

83%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Lillestrom – Real Sociedad

Kesho 20:00

Lillestrom

Real Sociedad

33%20%47%

Sare au Real Sociedad 67% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 77% BTTS 75%

133%

N20%

247%

+1.591%

+2.577%

+3.558%

BTTS75%

Si zote 225%

Mapumziko

129%

N33%

238%

83%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Pachuca – Cruz Azul

Kesho 04:00

Pachuca

Cruz Azul

45%20%35%

Pachuca au sare 65% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 77% BTTS 75%

145%

N20%

235%

+1.591%

+2.577%

+3.558%

BTTS75%

Si zote 225%

Mapumziko

137%

N33%

230%

83%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Santos – Pumas UNAM

Kesho 04:10

Santos

Pumas UNAM

71%16%13%

Santos kushinda 71% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 76% BTTS 65%

171%

N16%

214%

+1.591%

+2.576%

+3.556%

BTTS65%

Si zote 235%

Mapumziko

154%

N30%

216%

80%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Juventus – Stade Rennais

Kesho 17:45

Juventus

Stade Rennais

40%22%38%

Juventus au sare 62% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 71% BTTS 71%

140%

N22%

238%

+1.588%

+2.571%

+3.550%

BTTS71%

Si zote 229%

Mapumziko

133%

N35%

232%

80%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Bayern Munich – Arsenal

20:00

Bayern Munich

Arsenal

63%18%19%

Bayern Munich kushinda 63% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 70% BTTS 65%

163%

N19%

219%

+1.588%

+2.571%

+3.549%

BTTS65%

Si zote 235%

Mapumziko

147%

N34%

219%

80%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — AFC Bournemouth – AC Milan

Kesho 20:00

AFC Bournemouth

AC Milan

25%21%54%

AC Milan kushinda 54% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 70% BTTS 68%

125%

N20%

254%

+1.588%

+2.570%

+3.549%

BTTS68%

Si zote 232%

Mapumziko

123%

N35%

242%

80%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — FC Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense

Kesho 20:00

FC Midtjylland

Sint-Truidense

55%20%25%

FC Midtjylland kushinda 55% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 70% BTTS 68%

155%

N20%

225%

+1.588%

+2.570%

+3.549%

BTTS68%

Si zote 232%

Mapumziko

142%

N35%

223%

79%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Toluca – Tijuana

Kesho 02:00

Toluca

Tijuana

50%21%29%

Toluca au sare 71% Matokeo 2-1 +2.5 69% BTTS 68%

150%

N21%

229%

+1.587%

+2.569%

+3.548%

BTTS68%

Si zote 232%

Mapumziko

139%

N35%

226%

79%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Guadalajara – Necaxa

01:07

Guadalajara

Necaxa

72%16%12%

Guadalajara kushinda 72% Matokeo 2-0 +2.5 69% BTTS 57%

172%

N16%

212%

+1.587%

+2.569%

+3.547%

BTTS57%

Si zote 243%

Mapumziko

154%

N32%

214%

79%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Brisbane Roar – Perth Glory

Ijm 23 Okt 10:00

Brisbane Roar

Perth Glory

31%21%48%

Sare au Perth Glory 69% Matokeo 1-1 +2.5 69% BTTS 68%

131%

N22%

247%

+1.587%

+2.569%

+3.547%

BTTS68%

Si zote 232%

Mapumziko

127%

N36%

237%

79%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — OFI Crete – Bayer Leverkusen

Kesho 17:45

OFI Crete

Bayer Leverkusen

17%19%64%

Bayer Leverkusen kushinda 64% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 68% BTTS 62%

117%

N19%

264%

+1.587%

+2.568%

+3.547%

BTTS62%

Si zote 238%

Mapumziko

118%

N34%

248%

78%Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — UTC – Melgar

Ijm 23 Okt 19:00

UTC

Melgar

17%19%64%

Melgar kushinda 64% Matokeo 1-2 +2.5 68% BTTS 61%

117%

N19%

264%

+1.586%

+2.568%

+3.546%

BTTS62%

Si zote 238%

Mapumziko

118%

N34%

248%

Jinsi ya kusoma utabiri huu

Timu mbili zinazofunga mabao mengi: chini kidogo ya nusu ya mabao yote hufungwa kipindi cha kwanza, hivyo unahitaji jumla kubwa ya mabao yanayotarajiwa ili kuzidi 70%.

Jedwali chini ya kila mechi linaonyesha kila uwezekano kutoka kwa modeli: ushindi wa nyumbani (1), sare (X), ushindi wa ugenini (2), zaidi ya mabao 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5, na timu zote mbili kufunga (ndiyo / hapana). Linganisha na odds: odds za 2.00 zinamaanisha 50%, odds za 1.50 takriban 67%.

Masoko mengine

Jinsi utabiri wetu unavyoandaliwa

Utabiri wetu unatokana na modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson) inayotumika kwa magoli ambayo kila timu ilifunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Hakuna kubahatisha: ni uwezekano, unaohesabiwa kwa njia ileile kwa kila mechi.

1 / X / 2: uwezekano wa ushindi wa nyumbani, sare, ushindi wa ugenini.
Chaguo letu: ushindi ikiwa uko juu ya 50%, vinginevyo nafasi mbili (double chance) inayowezekana zaidi.
Matokeo kamili: matokeo yanayowezekana zaidi (mara chache huzidi 15 hadi 20%).
Hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hatubadilishi utabiri kamwe baada ya mechi kuanza.

Rekodi ya siku 30: 60% ya utabiri sahihi katika mechi 315, 8% matokeo kamili.

21+ Utabiri si uhakika kamwe: kwa 60%, hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Weka dau la kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza tu. Kubashiri kwa uwajibikaji

Maswali

Ni utabiri gani bora wa "zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza"?

Kwa mujibu wa modeli yetu, zinazowezekana zaidi ni: Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Real Betis – Feyenoord Rotterdam (93 %) ; Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Real Madrid – RB Leipzig (91 %) ; Zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza — Aston Villa – Viking FK (90 %).

"zaidi ya bao 0.5 kipindi cha kwanza" inamaanisha nini?

Dau linashinda ikiwa angalau bao moja litafungwa kabla ya mapumziko, na timu yoyote. Linapoteza ikiwa ni 0-0 wakati wa mapumziko.

Utabiri huu una uwezekano mkubwa zaidi lini?

Timu mbili zinazofunga mabao mengi: chini kidogo ya nusu ya mabao yote hufungwa kipindi cha kwanza, hivyo unahitaji jumla kubwa ya mabao yanayotarajiwa ili kuzidi 70%.

Utabiri wenu unahesabiwaje?

Kwa modeli ya takwimu (mgawanyo wa Poisson): kwa kila timu tunatumia magoli iliyofunga na kufungwa katika mechi zake 6 za mwisho, yakisawazishwa kuelekea wastani historia ikiwa fupi, pamoja na faida ndogo ya kucheza nyumbani. Kutokana na hilo tunapata uwezekano wa ushindi, sare, kila matokeo kamili na idadi ya magoli.

Kiwango chenu cha mafanikio ni kipi?

Katika siku 30 zilizopita: 60% ya utabiri wa 1X2 ulikuwa sahihi (mechi 315), 8% matokeo kamili. Kila utabiri hufungwa mechi inapoanza: hakuna marekebisho baadaye.

Je, utabiri ni wa uhakika 100%?

Hapana. Utabiri wa 60% hukosea mara 4 kati ya 10. Usiweke dau zaidi ya kiasi unachoweza kumudu kupoteza; kubashiri ni kwa watu wazima tu.