Sturm Graz 1-0 Marseille: report, scorers and key moments

Result: Sturm Graz 1-0 Marseille

Marseille lost in Graz to an early Oumar Diakité goal and are still without a point in the Europa League.

The match

FT SK Sturm Graz Marseille 10

• 13' – Oumar Diakité (assist: Luca Weinhandl) [Sturm Graz]

Our prediction: wrong. Match centre and stats.

Marseille visit Sturm Graz at the Merkur Arena on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 17:45 (Cameroon time), on matchday 3 of the Europa League. Bruno Genesio's side have no points yet. Match centre.

• 16:45 in Abidjan, Dakar, Bamako, Accra, Conakry
• 17:45 in Kinshasa, Brazzaville, Douala, Yaoundé, Libreville, Lagos
• 18:45 in Lubumbashi, Kigali, Bujumbura, Johannesburg, Paris, Brussels
• 19:45 in Nairobi, Kampala, Dar es Salaam

Form

Marseille lost 4-1 at Beşiktaş and 1-0 at home to Olympiacos last Thursday, then won 5-2 at Angers on Sunday (Abdelli, Kamissoko, Gouiri, Harit, Paixão). According to Sports Mole, they have not won away in the Europa League since November 2023. Sturm have 1 point (0-0 v Rennes, 0-3 at Bournemouth) and no goals in the league phase, but thrashed GAK 6-1 in the Graz derby at the weekend.

Team news

• Pierre-Emile Højbjerg trained after missing three games; Genesio will decide on match day whether he can start (But! Football Club).
• Derek Cornelius missed Wednesday's session (Le Phocéen). Cameroon striker Faris Moumbagna trained with the group.
• Sturm goalkeeper Daniil Khudyakov broke his leg; Ammar Helac deputises (Laola1).

Possible line-up

Marseille, according to Sports Mole: De Lange; Weah, Meïté, Aguerd, Palmieri; Abdallah, Mmadi; Harit, Abdelli, Paixão; Gouiri.

The table

Marseille are 31st of 36 on 0 points, Sturm 26th on 1. The top eight go straight to the last 16; 9th to 24th go into the play-offs.

Our prediction

UEFA Europa League · 1–0 SK Sturm Graz vs Marseille

SK Sturm Graz34 % Draw25 % Marseille41 %

Over 2.5 goals 55 % Both teams score 58 %

Our prediction : Draw or Marseille · missed

Our model, a Poisson model based on recent goals scored and conceded, gives Sturm 34%, the draw 25% and Marseille 41%. Most likely score according to our model: 1-1. It sees over 2.5 goals in 55% of cases and both teams scoring in 58%. It does not account for team news.

Also on Thursday: Hoffenheim vs Lyon preview.

A prediction is a probability, never a certainty. Betting is for people aged 21 and over.