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over 1.5 goals predictions

"over 1.5 goals" predictions: matches in the next 3 days ranked from most to least likely, according to our statistical model. The bet wins if the match has at least 2 goals in total (2-0, 1-1, 3-2…). It loses with 0 or 1 goal.

96%Over 1.5 goals — RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt
143%
N19%
239%
+1,596%
+2,587%
+3,573%
BTTS84%
Not both16%
96%Over 1.5 goals — FC Cologne – Borussia Mönchengladbach
156%
N17%
227%
+1,596%
+2,587%
+3,573%
BTTS82%
Not both18%
95%Over 1.5 goals — 1. FC Union Berlin – SV Elversberg
115%
N14%
270%
+1,595%
+2,586%
+3,571%
BTTS76%
Not both24%
95%Over 1.5 goals — Chelsea – AFC Bournemouth
153%
N18%
229%
+1,595%
+2,584%
+3,568%
BTTS80%
Not both20%
94%Over 1.5 goals — FC Augsburg – Bayern Munich
114%
N14%
272%
+1,594%
+2,583%
+3,566%
BTTS72%
Not both28%
92%Over 1.5 goals — Paris Saint-Germain – Le Mans
165%
N17%
218%
+1,592%
+2,579%
+3,561%
BTTS72%
Not both28%
92%Over 1.5 goals — Real Madrid – Villarreal
165%
N17%
218%
+1,592%
+2,579%
+3,561%
BTTS72%
Not both28%
92%Over 1.5 goals — Stade Rennais – AJ Auxerre
150%
N20%
230%
+1,592%
+2,579%
+3,560%
BTTS76%
Not both24%
91%Over 1.5 goals — Borussia Dortmund – Werder Bremen
173%
N15%
213%
+1,591%
+2,577%
+3,558%
BTTS65%
Not both35%
91%Over 1.5 goals — TSG Hoffenheim – Hamburg SV
161%
N18%
221%
+1,591%
+2,577%
+3,557%
BTTS71%
Not both29%
91%Over 1.5 goals — Sunderland – Brighton & Hove Albion
115%
N16%
269%
+1,591%
+2,577%
+3,557%
BTTS67%
Not both33%
91%Over 1.5 goals — Lazio – Monza
170%
N16%
214%
+1,591%
+2,576%
+3,556%
BTTS66%
Not both34%
90%Over 1.5 goals — Racing Santander – Valencia
153%
N20%
227%
+1,590%
+2,574%
+3,554%
BTTS72%
Not both28%
90%Over 1.5 goals — Ipswich Town – Fulham
137%
N21%
241%
+1,590%
+2,574%
+3,554%
BTTS73%
Not both27%
89%Over 1.5 goals — Genoa – Fiorentina
115%
N17%
269%
+1,589%
+2,573%
+3,552%
BTTS64%
Not both36%
89%Over 1.5 goals — Mainz – Bayer Leverkusen
144%
N21%
235%
+1,589%
+2,572%
+3,552%
BTTS72%
Not both28%
87%Over 1.5 goals — Real Betis – Osasuna
166%
N18%
216%
+1,587%
+2,569%
+3,548%
BTTS62%
Not both38%
87%Over 1.5 goals — Internazionale – Parma
167%
N18%
215%
+1,587%
+2,569%
+3,548%
BTTS61%
Not both39%
87%Over 1.5 goals — Barcelona – Getafe
177%
N14%
29%
+1,587%
+2,569%
+3,547%
BTTS53%
Not both47%
87%Over 1.5 goals — Elche – Celta Vigo
127%
N21%
252%
+1,587%
+2,569%
+3,547%
BTTS67%
Not both33%
86%Over 1.5 goals — SC Freiburg – Schalke 04
163%
N19%
218%
+1,586%
+2,567%
+3,546%
BTTS62%
Not both38%
84%Over 1.5 goals — Real Sociedad – Deportivo
132%
N23%
246%
+1,584%
+2,564%
+3,542%
BTTS65%
Not both35%
83%Over 1.5 goals — Lens – Lyon
121%
N21%
259%
+1,583%
+2,563%
+3,541%
BTTS60%
Not both40%
83%Over 1.5 goals — Como – AS Roma
130%
N23%
247%
+1,583%
+2,563%
+3,540%
BTTS63%
Not both37%
83%Over 1.5 goals — Manchester United – Tottenham Hotspur
175%
N16%
29%
+1,583%
+2,562%
+3,540%
BTTS47%
Not both53%

How to read this prediction

Two teams that score regularly: only 2 goals are needed, so it's one of the safest markets, with low odds.

The grid under each match gives every probability from the model: home win (1), draw (X), away win (2), over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals, and both teams to score (yes / no). Compare them with the odds: odds of 2.00 imply 50%, odds of 1.50 about 67%.

Other markets

How our predictions are made

Our predictions come from a statistical model (Poisson distribution) applied to the goals each team scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. No guesswork: probabilities, calculated the same way for every match.

  • 1 / X / 2: probability of a home win, a draw, an away win.
  • Our pick: the win if it is above 50%, otherwise the most likely double chance.
  • Correct score: the most likely score (rarely above 15 to 20%).
  • Locked at kick-off: we never change a prediction once the match has started.

Record published after 20 predictions have been played (4 so far), losses included.

21+ A prediction is never a certainty: at 60%, it is wrong 4 times out of 10. Only stake what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

FAQ

What are the best "over 1.5 goals" predictions?

According to our model, the most likely are: Over 1.5 goals — RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt (96 %) ; Over 1.5 goals — FC Cologne – Borussia Mönchengladbach (96 %) ; Over 1.5 goals — 1. FC Union Berlin – SV Elversberg (95 %).

What does "over 1.5 goals" mean?

The bet wins if the match has at least 2 goals in total (2-0, 1-1, 3-2…). It loses with 0 or 1 goal.

When is this prediction most likely?

Two teams that score regularly: only 2 goals are needed, so it's one of the safest markets, with low odds.

How are your predictions calculated?

With a statistical model (Poisson distribution): for each team we use the goals scored and conceded in its last 6 matches, smoothed towards the average when the history is short, with a small home advantage. From that we get the probabilities of a win, a draw, every correct score and the number of goals.

What is your success rate?

Our record is published once 20 predictions locked before kick-off have been played. Every prediction is locked at kick-off: no corrections afterwards.

Are the predictions 100% reliable?

No. A 60% prediction is wrong 4 times out of 10. Never stake more than you can afford to lose; betting is for adults only.

Where are you?

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