Roma 3-4 Real Madrid: trailing 3-1, Real turn it around in the last seven minutes

Real Madrid won 4-3 at Roma on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at the Stadio Olimpico in a wild matchday 2 game in the Champions League. Full match centre.

UEFA Champions League · 3–4 AS Roma vs Real Madrid

AS Roma53 % Draw24 % Real Madrid23 %

Over 2.5 goals 52 % Both teams score 53 %

Our prediction : AS Roma win · missed

How it happened

Marten de Roon put Roma ahead on 20 minutes from a Matías Soulé pass. Kylian Mbappé equalised five minutes later (25'), set up by Côte d'Ivoire's Yan Diomande. After the break, Donyell Malen struck twice (51' and 57'): 3-1 to Roma.

Then Real turned it around in seven minutes. Carlos Espí pulled one back (83'), Endrick levelled from an Arda Güler pass (85'), and Antonio Rüdiger, again set up by Güler, won it in the 90th minute.

Vinícius Júnior started up front with Mbappé and Diomande, without a goal or an assist. For Roma, Côte d'Ivoire's Evan Ndicka started in defence.

Goals minute by minute

What our model predicted

53%AS Roma 24%Draw 23%Real Madrid

Expected goals

AS Roma1.7

Real Madrid1.1

Most likely scores

1-111%1-011%2-110%

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams score

Our prediction « AS Roma win » : lost

The table

Real, winners over Inter in their opener, have 6 points. Roma have one point from two games. All Wednesday's results and the table.

Our model had Roma as favourites (53%): wrong.